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Technical Analysis

The #1 Reason Why Gold Collapsed

by Adam Hewison

Following the gold market as we do here at MarketClub, it was amazing that nobody, and I mean nobody, was bearish on this market. This always creates a problem as the markets tend to reverse when everyone is on one side and there’s no one else left to buy.

Another tip-off was on Fox Business News and also on CNBC indicating that gold was going to hit $1400 almost immediately. Well after Tuesday, we know what was to happen to the price of gold. If gold were so strong, should it really have gone down almost $70 in 4 days?

This is where technical analysis and Japanese candlestick charts really shine in my opinion. What happened in gold was a classic candlestick formation that any trader, whether they trade gold or other markets, should be aware of.

In this short video, I illustrate how this formation occurred and how it was confirmed the next day – and I don’t mean on Tuesday.

I also have a free candlestick book that I’m making available along with this video.

Bulletproof Your Retirement Portfolio – Free Video

by Adam Hewison

If you are looking to retire in the next 10, 15, or even 20 years, it’s time to have a strategy in place before it’s too late.

Now is the time to plan and protect your family’s future by turning your portfolio into the financial fortress that you’re counting on in the years to come.

In today’s short video, I share with you a way to bulletproof your retirement portfolio.

You may remember when we launched the “Perfect Portfolio” some months ago. This portfolio was very popular, but many of you told me that itwould not work within your retirement accounts. With this in mind, I specifically designed the “Perfect ‘R’ Portfolio” to work with your 401(k) or IRA account.

The “Perfect ‘R’ Portfolio” uses an easy to follow MarketClub strategy that I developed using my many years of investing experience as a former floor trader and member of four major exchanges.

For most investors, this report will come as a real wake-up call. For your own sake, I hope that you are one of them.

In this report, I share with you all the rules and results which explain how the “Perfect ‘R’ Portfolio” was created, how it actually works, and how it can work for you. As a bonus, I have included a special certificate that will give you instant access to MarketClub for the next 30 days. Get the free report here: Bullet-proof your Retirement.

With complete access to MarketClub and my foolproof strategy, you can see and verify for yourself that everything in the report is 100% accurate.

Download this report today and see how you can easily use this information to bulletproof your retirement account … no matter what happens to the economy.

Bullet-proof your Retirement

October Curse vs. Objective Analysis: The Choice Is Yours

October 12, 2010

By Elliott Wave International

Over the weekend, I went shopping for Halloween decorations. In the store, one of the clerks was wearing a white T-shirt with a puff-paint rendering of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The line representing prices was the color of blood red, dripping and splashed across the front. When I asked him what it was, he said “the October Curse.”

‘Tis the season of stock market adages; those age-old Wall Street platitudes that claim stock prices perform a certain way during certain months of the year. The problem is, such correlations are hardly a guarantee.

Take October, for example. Yes, this month has marked some of the darkest periods in stock market history: 1929, 1987 and on. Historically, however, it’s not the worst performing month. For example, the supposed “Halloween Jinx” failed to bring a deathly pallor to stocks in 2008, as the final days of that year’s October saw the biggest weekly gain since 1974.

Remove Dangerous Mainstream Assumptions from Your Investment Process. Elliott Wave International’s FREE 118-page Independent Investor eBook shows you exactly what moves markets and what doesn’t. It will change the way you invest forever. Click here to learn more and download your free, 118-page ebook.

Then there are these familiar saws of seasonal wisdom:

“As Goes The First Week of January, So Goes The Month”– In the first week of January 2010, the stock market enjoyed a powerful winning streak. Yet, by the end of the month, prices were back in the red, circling the drain of a two-month low.

“Sell In May And Go Away” — And don’t come back ’till St. Leger’s Day (September). If investors heeded this wisdom this year, they would have missed one of the strongest uptrends in stocks of the entire year from July to September.

“September Curse” — If you think October is supposed to be bad, September is widely assumed to take the financial killing cake. Yet this year, U.S. stocks enjoyed their strongest September in 71 years!

Bottom line: Don’t “buy” your trading strategy before the trend actually arrives. The choice comes down to old adages, or objective analysis. Pick the latter.

Remove Dangerous Mainstream Assumptions from Your Investment Process. Elliott Wave International’s FREE 118-page Independent Investor eBook shows you exactly what moves markets and what doesn’t. It will change the way you invest forever. Click here to learn more and download your free, 118-page ebook.

This article was syndicated by Elliott Wave International and was originally published under the headline October Curse Vs Objective Analysis: The Choice Is Yours. EWI is the world’s largest market forecasting firm. Its staff of full-time analysts led by Chartered Market Technician Robert Prechter provides 24-hour-a-day market analysis to institutional and private investors around the world.

Robert Prechter: Ominous Pattern in the DJIA – Video (Part 2)

Video (Part 2): Prechter: Ominous Pattern in the DJIA

(Note: This interview was originally recorded on September 20, 2010)

In the video below, Robert Prechter talks to Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task and Henry Blodget about a technical pattern he sees forming in the Dow.

Get Up to Speed on Robert Prechter’s Latest Perspective — Download this Special FREE Report Now.

The Wave Principle: Where The Rubber Hits The Road

Elliott wave analysis saw corn’s biggest moves coming

By Nico Isaac

You could be to technical analysis what tweens are to texting, and it wouldn’t make a lick of difference: You still wouldn’t necessarily be trading at your fullest potential. The reason being: Without Elliott wave in your technical analysis toolbox, it’s like looking at the world of opportunity through a narrow keyhole and ultimately missing the big picture.

The Wave Principle can help you unlock that door. Teaching you how to do it is the goal of the latest free educational report from our Club EWI resource center, titled “How the Wave Principle Can Improve Your Trading.” In this six-page article, our editorial staff reveals these (and many more) ways in which the wave model makes up for the ways ordinary technical methods fall short:

  • Technical studies can get you on board a trend, but the Wave Principle can say specifically at which point that trend has failed — namely, when prices violate critical support or resistance levels in your price charts.
  • Technical studies can identify the direction of a trend, but the Wave Principle can determine how high prices will rally or how low they will fall.
  • Technical studies can recognize the strength of a trend, but the Wave Principle can discern the maturity of one; when it’s time to take profits or raise protective stops.
  • Technical studies can recognize the strength of a trend, but the Wave Principle can discern the maturity of one; when it’s time to take profits or raise protective stops.

Now for the fun part: Putting the Wave Principle to use in the real-time action of a well known market. For this, we turn to EWI’s chief commodity analyst and long-time Futures Junctures Service editor Jeffrey Kennedy. (Note: Futures Junctures Service is a two-part package that includes Daily Futures Junctures and its long-term sister publication Monthly Futures Junctures.)

Over the last year, Jeffrey’s timely navigation of the Corn market showcases the ability of Wave analysis to identify high-probability trade set-ups. To illustrate, we’ll start with this price chart of corn since March 2009 (courtesy of ino.com) — punctuated with brief excerpts from Jeffrey’s Monthly Futures Junctures.

CBOT Corn May 2010

Below are the expanded versions of Jeffrey’s analysis:

June 2009 Monthly Futures Junctures:

“The Party’s Over In Grains: The corrective advance in corn that began in December 2008 is complete at 450 (basis July). This means that the stage is set for renewed selling that should push corn prices to below the 2008 low of 325 1/4. Moreover, considering the manner and extent of the decline since the early June top, wave patterns argue strongly that this is an intermediate tradable top.”

September 2009 Monthly Futures Junctures: Presented an updated chart that showed prices set to embark on a powerful uptrend above $4 and wrote: “After a Rally, More Decline.”

January 2010 Monthly Futures Junctures: Price chart showed wave c of a zigzag coming to an end and wrote: Wave c = .618 times wave a + wave a at $4.26.

When applied skillfully, no method gets you into a trend earlier and out of a failed move faster than the Wave Principle. Read the entire free 6-page report “How the Wave Principle Can Improve Your Trading” today.

Here’s what you’ll learn:

  • How the Wave Principle provides you with price targets
  • How it gives you specific “points of ruin”: At what point does a trade fail?
  • What specific trading opportunities the Wave Principle offers you
  • How to use the Wave Principle to set protective stops
  • Keep reading this free lesson now.

Nico Isaac writes for Elliott Wave International, a market forecasting and technical analysis firm.

Fibonacci Techniques for Math Geeks – and Everyone Else, Too

By Editorial Staff

The word Fibonacci (pronounced fib-oh-notch-ee) can draw either blank stares or an enthusiastic response. There’s hardly any in-between ground. But for those who ask how an esoteric mathematical relationship can apply to price charts and trading, here’s a quick lesson. Everyone who uses Elliott wave analysis will sooner or later want to try using Fibo techniques, and Elliott Wave International’s Jeff Kennedy has written about five of them in a Trader’s Classroom column. For an example of why people are so fascinated by Fibonacci, read part of Kennedy’s article here:

* * * * *

How to Apply Fibonacci Math to Real-World Trading
Have you ever given an expensive toy to a small child and watched while the child had less fun playing with the toy than with the box that it came in? In fact, I can remember some of the boxes I played with as a child that became spaceships, time machines or vehicles to use on dinosaur safaris.

In many ways, Fibonacci math is just like the box kids enjoy playing with imaginatively for hours on end. It’s hard to imagine a wrong way to apply Fibonacci ratios or multiples to financial markets, and new ways are being tested every day. Let’s look at just some of the ways I apply Fibonacci math in my own analysis.

Fibonacci Retracements
Financial markets demonstrate an uncanny propensity to reverse at certain Fibonacci levels. The most common Fibonacci ratios I use to forecast retracements are .382, .500 and .618. On occasion, I find .236 and .786 useful, but I prefer to stick with the big three. You can imagine how helpful these can be: Knowing where a corrective move is likely to end often identifies high-probability trade setups (Figures 7-1 and 7-2).

figure 7-1

figure 7-2

Kennedy then goes on to explain Fibonacci extensions, circles, fans and time, using 11 charts to show what he means. Whether or not you are a math geek, you can learn a lot from this six-page introduction to Fibonacci math.

Get Your Fibonacci Techniques Right Here. Jeffrey Kennedy has been using and teaching these techniques for years, and he has written a quick description of five Fibonacci techniques in his Trader’s Classroom column — now available to you for free by signing up as a Club EWI member. Read more about the 6-page report here.

Elliott Wave International (EWI) is the worlds largest market forecasting firm. EWIs 20-plus analysts provide around-the-clock forecasts of every major market in the world via the internet and proprietary web systems like Reuters and Bloomberg. EWIs educational services include conferences, workshops, webinars, video tapes, special reports, books and one of the internets richest free content programs, Club EWI.

Equity Markets – A Technical Video Analysis

by Adam Hewison

To many technicians, it is very clear where the equity markets will reverse, and for those folks who don’t follow the technicals, this is a key reversal area in the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and the Dow.

In my new short video I show you the exact levels that I think will reverse this market, if in fact it’s ever going to reverse to the downside.

Currently the major trend remains positive for all the indices and we would only become negative on the these markets should the key levels I show you  today, are broken.

Watch the free video here: Equity Markets – A Technical Video Analysis (3:41)

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements.

How to Spot BIG Trends: Free video

Every trader and investor I know would love to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. The reality is that this is not a winning solution, nor is it possible to do this on a consistent basis.

What we look for at MarketClub is to catch the sweet spot of the trend. The sweet spot is the 70% to 80% that’s in the middle of a trend.

I’ve been in this business a long time and know enough people in the industry to know that nobody buys the bottom and sells at the top. If they tell you that’s what they do on a consistent basis, run a country mile because they are exaggerating their capabilities.

In this short video, we look at crude oil and how you can spot the big trends using MarketClub’s “Trade Triangle” technology. I think you’ll find the video informative, educational, and it will give you an insight into how we look at the markets.

Watch the video here: How to Spot BIG Trends

The video is free to watch and there are no registration requirements.

Crude Oil Cycle: Trading Video

One thing jumped out at me recently when I took a look at the crude oil market.

It appears as though crude oil has an amazing cyclic quality that can be timed quite accurately with MarketClub’s “Triangle” technology. In this new short video, I showcase this cycle and how you can take advantage of it.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements.

Watch the video here: Crude Oil…what does the chart say?

NASDAQ crosses important trend line – Free video

One of the most powerful technical tools that a trader possesses is a pencil and a ruler. It sounds kind of old-school, but the reality is trend lines in technical analysis are enormously important.

In my new video I will show you how the NASDAQ index has broken a very important trend line and what the ramifications are for this index.

We can all learn from the simplicity of this approach and how effective it is in the long run.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements.

Watch the free video here: NASDAQ crosses important trend line