Trading Resource » S&P

Dow and S&P Update: Can We Keep Going Higher?

admin — Thu, 15 Apr 2010 17:27:21 +0000

by Adam Hewison

We owe trillions of dollars, but Crude oil is at $86 a barrel, the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ are making new highs almost everyday and unemployment is officially at 9.7%.

Everything is great! Happy days are here again… Right?

So is the DOW, S&P, and NASDAQ all going to keep going higher forever? Or are the teachings of a dead mathematician going to reverse this juggernaut of a market?

In my new video I show you exactly what I mean and how the these indices could be very close to a very important tipping point.

Watch the Video: Can we keep going higher?

This is without a doubt, one of the most important videos I have ever made and if you are concerned about your financial future, you don’t want to miss it.

Video: Is the S&P Poised for Growth or Collapse?

admin — Thu, 10 Dec 2009 18:11:43 +0000

There’s no doubt about it, for the past four weeks the S&P 500 index has been trapped in a trading range.

In my new video I show you a key level to watch this week. If this level is broken, it will be a game changer for this index.

As always our videos are free to view and there is no registration requirement. Watch the video here. (5:59)

All the best,
Adam Hewison
MarketClub

If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This

admin — Sat, 05 Dec 2009 02:00:02 +0000

The major stock indexes are the wrong place to look
December 4, 2009

By Robert Folsom

A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline:

Stocks: The “Loss” Decade
A disastrous ten years for the stock market ends in just a month. Will the turning of a new decade change investors’ luck?

One sentence from the story itself tells you most of what you need to know: “The ten years since Y2K are on track to produce the worst total returns for investors since the 1930s.”

Of course, no one should really be surprised by a story that says the stock indexes did poorly over the past decade. That’s not news. The facts in the article more or less repeat what our own Elliott Wave Financial Forecast reported last March, complete with this chart:

The proof of the market is in its charts. Professional market technicians know something you don’t. A solid grasp of the most successful technical analysis methods can help you cut through the hype and give you the big-picture, unbiased perspective you need now more than ever. You can now download a FREE 50-page Technical Analysis Handbook from the largest independent technical analysis provider in the world. Learn more about technical analysis, and download your free 50-page ebook here.

It’s safe to say that this business magazine article is the first of many the media will run before the year’s end, as part of their “decade wrap-up” stories. And like this story, most or all those like will share the same basic assumption: stock investors did poorly because the stock indexes did poorly.

And that assumption, dear reader, is erroneous. The truth is far uglier.

Here’s what I mean. If you want to know how real stock investors really behave, the major stock indexes are the wrong place to look. Published results from firms like Dalbar and Vanguard consistently show that, over the past 25 years, individual investors and mutual fund shareholders have had average returns that are half (at best) of the annual returns of the broader stock market.

So, for example, in 20 years from Jan. 1, 1989 through Dec. 31, 2008, the S&P 500 showed a 8.35% gain (Dalbar). Over that same period, equity investors showed a 1.87% gain. And if you include the 2.89% inflation rate in those years, investors show a 1.02% loss.

You can shift to a timeframe which excludes the bear market that started in 2007, but it doesn’t change the basic story. From January 1984 though December 2002, the Dalbar data shows that equity investors earned an annual average of 2.6%, vs. the S&P 500‘s 12.2% annual average. The annual inflation rate for period was 3.14%.

What’s more, similar studies and surveys also show that most investors are overconfident in the decisions they make. Put another way, they don’t even know that they are their own worst enemy.

It can be different for you. Market prices move in recognizable patterns: Those patterns can also reveal specific price levels that help confirm the direction of the trend, or identify the time to step aside. Respecting the price, pattern and trend is the first step toward discipline, instead of yielding to emotions.

Robert Folsom is a financial writer and editor for Elliott Wave International. He has covered politics, popular culture, economics and the financial markets for two decades, via print, radio and the Internet. Robert earned his degree in political science from Columbia University in 1985.

SP500 Trend Change – Key Levels to Watch

admin — Wed, 02 Dec 2009 01:08:31 +0000

Well here we are in the month of December and things can get pretty tricky this month. For this reason, I wanted to produce a video that I thought would be helpful to you during this time.

In my new video I show you the exact points that we’re looking at for a major trend change in the S&P 500. I also point out the exact number that will show an exit point, but not a major trend change, in this same index.

Watch the video here: SP500 Trend Change – Key Levels to Watch

As always our videos are free to watch and there is no need to register and we look forward to your comments.

Adam Hewison
Co-creator, MarketClub